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The Middle East And South European Countries Are Limited By The Global Economic Downturn.

2019/11/12 11:19:00 0

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According to the information quoted by the Austrian Salzburg daily (108) in November, 6 of Vienna Economic Research (WIIW), in the face of the slowing down of global economic growth, most of the countries in Southeast Europe (CESEE) have not been hit too much. Although the strong economic growth has already passed, it is estimated that the economy will have a "soft landing" and will not face a collapse.

WIIW points out the economic elasticity of the 23 central and South Eastern European countries surveyed (ECO Nomic resilience, which is derived from its strong domestic demand, and the growth of salary growth and expansionary fiscal policy brought about by the shortage of talents, has contributed to its economy, and the new EU membership has benefited from strong public investment, which comes from the common injection of transfer payment.

WIIW estimated that the average economic growth rates of these countries in 2019, 2020 and 2021 were 3%, 2.9% and 2.9%, lower than 3.8% and 3.7% in 2018 and 2017, and estimated that the average growth rate in the euro area would be only slightly more than 1% in 2019. From the perspective of individual countries, Turkey is facing an economic recession (-0.7%) in 2019, but the economic growth rate will rise to 3.1% in 2020. In 2019, the Russian economy will grow by only 1.1%, and 2020 will rise to 1.7%.

WIIW forecast of economic growth in central and South Eastern Europe (%):

 

Two thousand and nineteen

Two thousand and twenty

Two thousand and twenty-one

poland

Four point four

Three point five

Three point three

Hungary

Four point three

Three point one

Two point six

Romania

Four point two

Three point three

Three

Bulgaria

Three point five

Two point seven

Two point four

Ukraine

Three point three

Three point one

Three point three

Croatia

Two point nine

Two point seven

Two point seven

Serbia

Two point nine

Two point seven

Two point six

Slovenian

Two point nine

Two point eight

Two point eight

Czech

Two point five

Two point four

Two point six

Slovakia

Two point three

Two point two

Two point six

Russia

One point one

One point seven

One point nine

Turkey

-0.7

Three point one

Three point three

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